Friday, April 17, 2009

Pirates you say?

Pirates have been around as long as we have been traveling on rivers and seas. Like slavery, piracy is an economic driven enterprise that thrives in areas that have little to no state presence or has a state sponsor who see their activities as both profitable and politically expedient. The naval flotillas plying the waters off the Horn of Africa will have no significant effect on curbing piracy. There are too many ships to escort, too wide an area to patrol and too few armed assets to do the job. Arming cargo ships will run into legal, liability, and safety issues. It also will be minimally effective considering the income made at pirating. Arming cargo ships will likely result in only a stalemate and an arms race between the pirates and commercial ships. Think about the drug trade and the international success to suppress it in areas where there is little stability or law enforcement. To end piracy in the Red and Arabian seas will require draining the swamps in the geographic territory known as Somalia. That will entail more than just going ashore and burning out a few pirate dens. There is big money in it for the locals and unless you establish security followed by a viable economy they will spring back about as fast as you can get out of port. Good news is that the skills and talent for nation building, and that is what we are talking about, are well known and available. Bad news is that it will take at least a decade and tens of billions to do it and no one wants to foot the bill or contribute the forces. The ship owners are content to limit the liability by insuring their ships and cargo's. The insurance company are willing, at least at the moment, to endure the losses. When the pirating goes beyond the tolerance level of either the ship owners or insurance companies then some action will take place. There are only two tried and true methods for dealing with piracy and it is not arming merchant ships. Both methods have been used with varying degrees of success by nations around the world, including the US, for millennia. More to follow.

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